First the Concorde, now the A380. The light is dimming as the Permanent Dark Age dawns. Once you've filled in the periodic table, life changing innovations peter out. My paternal grandfather was born in 1880 and died in 1967. Just consider how the world around him changed over that span of time.
- automobiles
- telephone
- radio
- TeeVee
- aircraft, and all that brings
- space travel
- medicines of nearly every description
- computers, initially analog then digital then semi-conductor

You can continue to fill in that list at your leisure. Nearly every 'innovation' since 1950, say, is merely an incremental (at decreasing rate) nudge to those items. While population heads toward 8 billion, water becomes scarce, and wealth concentrates.

Have a nice day.

Views: 60

Comment by koshersalaami on February 14, 2019 at 1:15pm

I’ve noticed this. If you look at our world fifty years ago, it looks way more like this one than it looks like the world fifty years before that. We listen to 50 year old music all the time. We didn’t in 1969. Photographs from 1969 and photos from now don’t look drastically different. Photos from 1919 don’t look like either. Airline travel in 1919 was nonexistent. I’d rather fly on a 1969 era Boeing 707 than a current aircraft because the 707’s seats had room. We’ve gone downhill. There was no real suburbia in 1919. There was very familiar suburbia in 1969. Retail is now changing as brick and mortar stores die but until pretty recently - and what’s left still does - retail now looks like 50 years ago but not like 100 years ago. 

What’s changed is computerization. And that will continue to change, and drastically. 

Comment by Robert Young on February 14, 2019 at 1:31pm
... and the pundits are still arguing about what 'AI' really is. :)
Comment by koshersalaami on February 14, 2019 at 4:34pm

The first form will be sort of like Alexa. However, that will soon expand to all sorts of stuff in your daily life, probably including some sort of electronic function/interaction with clothing. And walls.

Comment by Robert Young on February 14, 2019 at 6:40pm
Kosher:
retail now looks like 50 years ago but not like 100 years ago.

some have argued, humble self included, that e-tail in general and Amazon specifically is just the Sears catalog with 747's doing the delivery.

"He started a mail-order watch business in Minneapolis in 1886, calling it "R.W. Sears Watch Company." Within the first year, he met Alvah C. Roebuck, a watch repairman. The next year Sears and Roebuck relocated the business to
Chicago. In 1887, R.W. Sears Watch Company published Richard Sears' first mail-order catalog, "

"In 1893, they renamed the company to Sears, Roebuck & Company and began to diversify the product lines offered in their catalogs. Before the Sears catalog, farmers near small rural towns usually purchased supplies—often at high prices and on credit—from local general stores with narrow selections of goods."

the wiki
Comment by Tom Cordle on February 15, 2019 at 10:41am

I wrote about this phenomenon in my book The Disappearing Cemetery. One of locals I interviewed for the book was nearly eighty, and he was typical of people his age around here. He was a moonshiner who'd never lived anywhere else in his life; he couldn't read or write, and he had never even set foot in school. When he was a boy, he walked nine miles into town and back and thought nothing of it. He was raised without running water or indoor plumbing, and he was in his forties before he was introduced to electricity. He was born in a time and place without automobiles, airplanes, radio, television, color television, cable news, computers, and the Internet. All that, he had to adjust to in the space of a single lifetime. 

All that change, and yet the rules he guided his life by were written down in a book written thousands of years ago. The question becomes more and more when, not whether, the rate of technological change will exceed human capacity to adapt. I'd say we're getting dangerously close to that day.

Comment by old new lefty on February 19, 2019 at 9:46am

Don't forget the five degree centigrade warming by 2100 when you factor in the methane that will be released. Have a nice day back at ya!

Comment by Robert Young on February 19, 2019 at 9:54am

I recently saw reporting that global warming is already exceeding the last previous estimates, which weren't all that old.  one such report:  https://www.nytimes.com/2019/01/10/climate/ocean-warming-climate-ch...

Comment by Maui Surfer on February 19, 2019 at 10:03am

This is spot on ... ISRAEL IS GOING TO THE MOON ... (good for them, and humanity) ... and we just lost our last contact with Rover. I love yakking with y'all on the Interwebs, thing is, I've been on them (from ARPANET on) since 1985, and besides more pretty pictures and vids, it has gotten worse, not better, never mind mobile and Instagram and what I had for lunch- you like the picture of my caviar, eh?

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