The likelihood of war with North Korea increases every day. We know the American fleet is closing in on the area, and rumors have it that troop maneuvers are taking place in Alaska--the nearest land mass.
The reasoning I'm using is based on what we know about the man who has the authority to make that decision. For those who read the remarkable, The Dangerous Case of Donald Trump, the collection of articles by professionals on his mental condition, he has a particular type of narcissism in which his reaction to pressure is to find more and more scapegoats to blame. This should be pretty obvious to anyone paying much attention by this time who don't idolize him.
Trump's form of narcissism is called "malignant" narcissism. Everyone is a reflection of his own ego. His capacity for empathy, while not totally lacking as it is in a psychopath means Trump is on the borderline. He has the ability to connect with those who have similar characteristics, whether they know it a not. He knows how to push their buttons and in response they've put him on a pedestal where he can do no wrong.
As the pressure builds on Trump, his response is not to back down, but to escalate the conflict, and certainly we've seen enough of that by now not to question it. The more his rivals gain the upper hand, the more likely Trump is to find his way out by diverting attention, and what better way to do that than start a war and promise only he has the guts to finish it. His last words before he pushes the button will probably be "Obama and Hillary made me do it." It's been a proven strategy for centuries all over the world, and has been utilized by more emotionally stable leaders here before.
It plays perfectly to his disciples, as does all of his divisiveness, triggering their fears, resentment and entitlement. The stage has been fully set by the right wing media and his disparagement of legitimate news sources. How he fights the war will be up to his generals, so of course if they fail, and possibly millions of South Koreans die, it won't be his fault either. Since he has made it known that diplomacy is for the weak, that door has already been shut. Imagine Russia as our Allie in a war against the fat yellow despot. Won't it be glorious!
So hold on friends. The worst may be yet to come. Of course, I wish it doesn't happen, but it's a matter of connecting the dots. Personally, I'm not going to be surprised the morning I wake up and am told an assault of some kind has been launched, and the planes, tanks, bombs, missiles, and troops are moving. Bush was able to start a war under false pretenses, and was re-elected, so American populist sentiment is probably on his side. Leadership to a reactionary doesn't mean peace, it means dominance, even if the person espousing it is a grandmother with babies in their arms. They never quite make the connection between war and their own assumptions.
It always amazes me how often those who make the greatest sacrifices in war become its greatest advocates. They want authoritarian leaders who preach ultra-nationalism and xenophobia. Otherwise, they feel threatened. While Trump's approval rating is falling, that in itself is another cause for him go to war. But I don't think it's low enough yet so he can't get away with it--do you?
The history books will call it "The Korean War II," and the monument will be next to Trump Tower. It will increase the traffic to the shops in his building so he'll get to increase the rent. A monster is loose in the White House