Staring Into the Maw of a Monster Hurricane

Along with millions of people in Florida and the Southeast I am worried about Irma.  The latest models show the track of the giant storm shifting to the west indicating that it will go directly up the Florida peninsula into Georgia with the potential to cause damage in Atlanta and beyond.

We are in the middle of beyond.

Irma

We were all right until meteorologists introduced something called the European model.  It supposedly predicts the paths of hurricanes slightly better than the model meteorologists usually use. I wonder why they don’t use the European model all of the time. 

We are supposed to travel Monday for my every three month cancer checkup and we received a call from Durham, six hours north and east advising us to bring bottled water and food that does not need to be cooked.  No one knows.  Everyone is edgy.

I am having déjà vu.  In 1989 I watched with clinical detachment as meteorologists talked of another giant storm called Hugo.  As Hugo bore down on Charleston, South Carolina I thought, “Poor Charleston”.  Living 250 miles inland I went to bed wondering what Charleston would look like in the morning.  Sometime during the night the wind picked up, turned to a roar, stopped, and then started back. 

We awoke to downed trees and no power.  Hugo was still a category one Hurricane when the eye passed over us.

Now we are looking at a Hurricane that may cause enormous injury and  damage and lose little power as it passes over Florida which is apparently still very hot and wet.

I have friends on both coasts of Florida in Tampa and St. Augustine.  They could face real devastation.

We have an enormous oak that leans over our house that I treasure for its age and shade.  If it falls it will cut our house in two. 

I don’t know where to run.  Hotel/motel rooms are booked all over North Georgia and Western North Carolina by Floridians.  Damn Floridians.

Damn those European models, too. Didn’t Melania Trump have something to do with Hurricane Harvey?

Or, was Hurricane Harvey caused by Michelle Obama’s bare shoulders or something in Hillary’s email?

Seriously, two major hurricanes and the hurricane season is not over.

This isn’t like Dylan’s World War Three Blues where he offered to let me be in his dream if he could be in mine.  As Jimmy Buffet sand, there is no way to reason with hurricane season.

Views: 258

Comment by Terry McKenna on September 8, 2017 at 3:28am

Recognizing that some of this is humor, I wanted to add that the "European Model" runs on better hardware that the US uses.  Our "model" has lower resolution and other problems.  And with budget cuts it will only get worse.

Comment by Jonathan Wolfman on September 8, 2017 at 5:31am

All-Best to all of you there.

Comment by Rodney Roe on September 8, 2017 at 5:45am

Assuming things don't change the projection is that the storm will be down to a tropical storm by the time it reaches Atlanta.  We're another 2 hr drive north of there.

Terry, I go to humor when things get bad.  Humor makes things more bearable.  Our friends in the Tampa area weren't much worried before the forecast changed.  I don't know what they plan now.

Comment by greenheron on September 8, 2017 at 6:44am

These hurricane path maps are horrible images. I hate looking at them. They've been all over the Globe this week, because if Irma tracks east, we'll get to meet her. Being olds, we all remember one monstrous storm or another, esp if we live on a coast. Here it was–I forget the hurricane name in '91–the one they made the movie The Perfect Storm about. No power, flooded homes, blown over giant trees, house washed into the ocean, and of course those guys on the fishing boat out of Gloucester. 

I hope you stay safe! Your amended treatment plans reminded me of how in Houston, MD Anderson closed, and everybody had to wait for their cancer treatments. As a cancer survivor, I totally related to the panic that would cause.

All in all though, I prefer being afraid of weather drama to Trump nuclear drama, so there is that. 

Comment by koshersalaami on September 8, 2017 at 6:55am

I wish you luck with this. I'm supposed to be in central NC in a week. My wife is supposed to be at the beach there. Maybe not. I'm going to participate in an outdoor music festival. The first couple of years it rained a lot, but a hurricane is a different deal entirely. 

Comment by Steel Breeze on September 8, 2017 at 7:28am

time to put sum tech to use.....need to drop a MOAB into the eye of these while out in clear water,i've read theory that the concussion might disrupt circulation......wont hurt to try,god knows we got enuff bombs sittin round....

Comment by Boanerges on September 8, 2017 at 7:31am

Stay safe, my friend. It's worth remembering that even if Irma drops below Cat 1 levels, the situation can still be deadly, as Toronto learned in 1954.

Comment by koshersalaami on September 8, 2017 at 7:40am

Regarding MOAB's and hurricanes:

If someone dropped a nuke into the eye of a hurricane, would it intensify because of the addition of all that heat? R would it disrupt the flow? 

If Trump constructed a very tall wall in the path of a hurricane, would it disrupt air flow? I'm afraid if he did it, for budgetary reasons it would be made of chain link. 

Comment by Steel Breeze on September 8, 2017 at 7:47am

MOAB=GBU-43/B=non-nuclear....

Comment by Anna Herrington on September 8, 2017 at 8:05am

With these things, I wonder how they 'know' it's going to turn at all.... but they usually do. Best wishes to you and yours, I'm hoping you just get some rain where you are, that's a lot of land to cover before it gets to you.... fingers crossed, anyway.

"I don't know where to run."

That is *exactly* how I am feeling as well - but it's wildfires that are in all directions from us (none too close, but all you need is a bit of a wind....) that have me so unsettled. The smoke has kept us trapped inside for weeks now, mostly, we're all getting sick from smoke particulate.... it was supposed to rain yesterday and it did, while I was in the grocery store. Several of us were in the parking lot, dancing in the rain, it was so welcome..... all in perspective, I guess. Nowhere near enough rain to stop the fires and that is what will stop them. RAIN. Too rugged terrain for humans to be able to stop them. and the humans/firefighters are too stretched thin and they are exhausted.

If only Irma could come hang overhead here for awhile.... and only drop rain.

(I added my misery to help counterattack your misery  : ))

Fire. Hurricanes. Crazy August is over and September seems to only be carrying along more crazy.... good luck!

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