In today's news, Nate Silver, eminent and historically accurate election prognosticator, says the current odds in the Presidential election are 79% Hillary, 20% Trump, with recent trends favoring Hillary. In other words, at the moment her lead is likely to grow. Those of us who are not Hillary haters might consider that good news, but I think it contains a risk.
What I'm worried about is the Republican convention. Trump earned his delegates, and disenfranchising the plurality of Republican voters by nominating someone else is extremely risky, I'd have been tempted at one point to consider it suicidal. The question is: If Trump's poll numbers drop much more, will the Republican leadership pull the plug and say "What have we got to lose?"
I'm not sure the Republicans have a viable candidate. At this point, I'd say their best bet would be Kasich. He doesn't have high negatives. He might not appeal to the purists, but we're no longer in the primaries and purists matter less than moderates in a general election.
We could be looking at another twist. The election process hasn't exactly been expected so far; there's nothing to say that we aren't in for more surprises.